Decision 2016: Examining Ohio State's championship chances

Ohio State down but not out of CFP (0:42)

The Buckeyes are in familiar territory as they look ahead to a possible playoff berth as a one-loss team. (0:42)

We'll find out a lot more about where things stand in the race for the College Football Playoff when the official rankings come out next week. Leading up to the big reveal, our college football experts narrowed the field to the 10 teams with the best shot at the national title.

Here's a look at Ohio State's title chances; to vote for who you think will win it all, go to our poll page or scroll to the bottom of this feature:

The case for Ohio State

  • Ohio State is 4-0 in games in which they were underdogs (according to ESPN's Football Power Index) under Urban Meyer. The Buckeyes are FPI underdogs at home against Michigan on Nov. 26.

  • Ohio State has a 70 percent chance to enter its matchup against Michigan without another loss and would thus still control its own destiny. The Buckeyes are 31-2 at home under Meyer.

-- ESPN Stats & Info

The case against Ohio State

  • The FPI projects Ohio State as the underdog against Michigan, even at the Horseshoe.

  • The FPI gives Michigan a 57.8 chance to win out and no conference has placed two teams in the College Football Playoff field.

-- ESPN Stats & Info

Talking points

  • Vegas odds: Ohio State has 3-1 odds to win the national title (second only to Alabama), according to the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook.

  • What FPI says: According to the FPI, the Buckeyes have a 25.4 percent chance of winning out through the regular season and conference title game and a 19.7 percent chance of winning the Big Ten. Their remaining schedule -- which includes a matchup against No. 7 Nebraska at home and No. 2 Michigan at home -- ranks as the 23rd most difficult.

  • ESPN senior writer Mark Schlabach: "The Buckeyes are going to need some help if they're going to get back into the playoff race, but history shows they're probably going to rebound quickly. Urban Meyer's teams have lost consecutive games only four times in his 15-year career and only once at Ohio State, when the Buckeyes dropped back-to-back games against Michigan State and Clemson at the end of the 2013 season."

  • ESPN senior writer Mel Kiper: "Most people thought Ohio State's inexperience would hurt it headed into the season, and the Buckeyes looked fantastic before Saturday. They're going to hit some rocky patches. The first half of the season showed Ohio State can play with any team in the country when it is playing at its best.

    "The defense isn't the issue, but the Buckeyes need to get back on track offensively. One loss won't sink them; they still control their own destiny. Their two toughest remaining games -- Nebraska and Michigan -- are both at home. ...

    "So if the Buckeyes keep winning and down Michigan, they'd likely be the favorites in the conference championship game. And we've already seen what a one-loss Ohio State team can do once it makes the Big Ten title game and gets a spot in the College Football Playoff."

Now that you're stuffed with numbers and analysis, are you convinced the Buckeyes are going all the way? Cast your vote below.