Analyzing J'Covan Brown's draft stock

J'Covan Brown's big day has finally arrived, but there’s no guarantee he’ll be happy with the results.

The former Texas guard went pro a year early at a time when, as the Big 12’s top scorer, his stock couldn’t have been higher. But 20.1 points per game only gets you so far on draft boards.

Going into tonight’s NBA Draft (6 p.m., ESPN), Brown’s hopes of hearing his name called don’t look great. The 6-foot-2, 202-pound guard entered the pre-draft process as a potential second-rounder, but poor conditioning at the draft combine in Chicago -- he had the combine’s highest body fat percentage at 12.5 percent -- certainly didn’t help.

Will that knock him all the way out of the draft? Here’s what NBA Draft gurus and pundits have to say about Brown’s hopes of being selected:


Ranking: 63rd

Projection: Undrafted

Full analysis

Brown earns praise for his knack for penetrating to the basket and his ability to take over games, but his size makes him a tweener guard and there are concerns about potential chemistry issues with teammates. Despite those question marks, ESPN still ranks Brown No. 7 among point guard prospects entering the draft and projects the six ahead of him will get drafted.

“Scouts have serious questions about his shot selection, turnovers and position. He is undersized as a 2-guard and doesn't really have point-guard skills. He'll likely go in the second round or undrafted.”


Ranking: N/A

Projection: Undrafted

Full analysis

Brown is deemed a good 3-point shooter and a great free-throw shooter whose shot selection and decision-making can be questionable. The player comparson he draws -- 15-year NBA vet Sam Cassell -- is a generous one, but this eval still sees Brown having to go the free agent route to make a pro team.

“The Big 12 All-Academic selection wasn’t naive about the process of declaring for the draft despite having a year of eligibility remaining. He knew he was taking a risk, but he has a daughter and he thought he needed to try and begin making a living to better take care of her. If he finds his way into the right system, perhaps Brown can make an impression.”