Our DFS experts are here to provide you with the best player to build lineups around in Week 16. This week's column features picks from ESPN's Field Yates, Jim McCormick, Eric Karabell, Tristan H. Cockcroft, KC Joyner and Matt Bowen.
For more daily fantasy advice for this week, check out Scott Kacsmar's best and worst DFS matchups using Football Outsiders' metrics.
Even without Julio Jones, the Falcons have put up more than 40 points in consecutive games. Some of that has been on the strength of the running game, but Ryan’s play has also catalyzed it. He’s thrown for 523 passing yards, five touchdowns and two interceptions minus Jones, who could return this week as he recovers from a toe issue. That would only increase an already favorable forecast for Ryan, who faces a Panthers secondary that -- despite playing better of late -- is still inexperienced at the cornerback position and ranks dead last in total passing yards allowed this season. Expect the Falcons' offense to keep rolling and for Ryan to deliver for your daily fantasy lineup.
Murray is ninth in fantasy points per game among tailbacks since the start of Week 10, while the Colts entered Week 15 allowing the fifth-most rushing yards per game and second-most yards before initial contact per rush. The Minnesota running game is on pace for a historically inefficient season, thus, I consider Indy's solid defensive showing last week an outlier rather than a trend. Meanwhile, Murray is the lead goal-to-go workhorse -- he already has the most rushing scores for the franchise since Marcus Allen in 1990 -- in a game that challenges for the highest implied point total of the entire slate, per the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook. With reasonable pricing and a multi-touchdown ceiling in place, Murray is a fine building block for Week 16.
While the 49ers are ridiculously easy to run on, some will simply ignore Todd Gurley because he’s been so disappointing. Britt has done nicely and will be the first Rams wide receiver to top 1,000 receiving yards in nearly a decade, and he hasn’t seen any statistical decline with a rookie quarterback. The 49ers aren’t so good against the pass, either. Britt isn’t priced like a top option, but he’s a top-20 wide receiver this season.
Back-to-back disappointing games have deflated Ajayi’s price somewhat, making him a prime buy in what’s a much more favorable matchup for him than the previous two, against the Jets and Cardinals. The Bills have allowed the sixth-most rushing yards and the second-most touchdowns this season.
San Diego isn't likely to play Melvin Gordon given his injury and that the Chargers are out of the AFC playoff race. Farrow may have disappointed last week in Gordon's absence, but he's now had 39 combined rushes/receptions over the past two weeks and is the Chargers bell cow ball carrier. That is a highly valuable asset to have against a Browns defense that allowed 40 rushes for 280 yards and three touchdowns against the Bills last week. Gordon might be worth putting in the lineup at $7,400 if he does make a surprise but if he is out as expected, Farrow has more upside to salary potential than anyone else this week.
Prescott and the Cowboys returned to the hyper-efficient passing attack in Week 15 versus the Bucs. With the Cowboys pairing the short-to-intermediate route tree and play action, Prescott completed 32-of-36 passes for 279 yards and added one rushing touchdown. Given the matchup in Week 16 versus a Lions defense that is surrendering 17.0 points per game to opposing quarterbacks (26th in the NFL), Prescott is in line to continue producing high-level numbers.