Can Bengals' Giovani Bernard get his first 100-yard game since 2017 vs. Texans?

Bengals (3-10-1) at Texans (4-10)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET | Fox

Matchup rating: 26.4 | Spread: HOU -8.0 (46)

What to watch for: Deshaun Watson needs three touchdowns to pass Matt Schaub (29) for the most passing touchdowns in a single season in franchise history. The Bengals have allowed 26 passing touchdowns in 14 games, so it's quite possible Watson at least ties Schaub's mark Sunday. -- Sarah Barshop

Bold prediction: Bengals running back Giovani Bernard will rush for 100 yards. That might not seem incredibly bold, but Bernard hasn't rushed for triple digits since Week 16 of the 2017 season. The Texans have arguably the worst rushing defense in the NFL and the Bengals will probably run it often, regardless of who is at quarterback. -- Ben Baby

Stat to know: The Texans have won eight of their past nine meetings against the Bengals, including the playoffs. No team has scored more than 13 points in any of the past three Bengals-Texans games: Houston won 13-9 in 2017, 12-10 in 2016 and 10-6 in 2015.

Playoff/draft picture: FPI gives the Bengals an 87.1% chance to have a top-five pick in next year's draft and projects them to pick No. 3 overall. The Texans, meanwhile, traded their pick to Miami in the Laremy Tunsil deal last year. That pick is projected to be No. 6.

Injuries: Bengals | Texans

What to know for fantasy: Texans running back David Johnson caught a career-best 11 passes in Week 15 against the Colts and it resulted in his best fantasy game of the season (24.3 fantasy points). See Week 16 rankings.

Betting nugget: Four of Cincinnati's past five games have gone under the total. Five of Houston's six home games have gone under the total. Read more.

Baby's pick: Bengals 21, Texans 17

Barshop's pick: Texans 21, Bengals 17

FPI prediction: HOU, 70.3% (by an average of 7.1 points)

Matchup must-reads: Upset win gives Bengals needed momentum heading toward crucial offseason ... Next Texans general manager could create space with strategic cuts ... ... Sources: Texans fine players at Watson event