It's the NFL postseason, and ESPN betting analysts Doug Kezirian (0-2 last week, 21-33-2 overall), Joe Fortenbaugh (2-2, 35-58-1), Anita Marks (5-15, 112-115-2), Preston Johnson (1-0, 16-20), Mike Clay (5-6, 21-16) and Tyler Fulghum (4-6-1, 64-87-3), sports betting deputy editor David Bearman (0-2, 34-24), Seth Walder (0-0, 50-31) of ESPN analytics and Aaron Schatz (0-4, 42-49-2) of Football Outsiders are here to tell us what bets they like from this weekend's divisional-round slate.
Note: Lines courtesy of Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill and subject to change.
Cleveland Browns at Kansas City Chiefs (-10, 56.5), 3:05 p.m. ET
Schatz: The Chiefs haven't won a game by more than a touchdown since Week 8 against the Jets. Conventional wisdom says they've been holding back and will "flip the switch" in the playoffs and suddenly become an unstoppable juggernaut. But there's no real evidence for that. The Browns may be only 12th in Football Outsiders' weighted DVOA ratings, but the Chiefs are only seventh (fifth if we remove Week 17 when they sat starters). A 10-point line is a really big gap, even if we believe the Chiefs are likely to win this game.