Mike Clay's guide to NFL player prop bets for Week 3

Coming off 10 days rest, Saquon Barkley should see his numbers increase against the Falcons. AP Photo/Alex Brandon

Each week of the 2021 NFL season, I will review every individual player prop available via our partners at Caesars Sportsbook and pick out my favorite plays. This week's best bets are listed below, in no particular order.

For thoughts on player-prop strategy, check out our recent staff roundtable on the topic.

Russell Wilson over 1.5 passing TDs (-200)

Wilson has thrown at least two touchdown passes in 14 of his past 19 games tracing back to Week 1 in 2020. He has been especially good in this department early in the season, as he has thrown at least two touchdowns 12 consecutive games during Weeks 1-3. That includes four against the Colts two weeks ago and two against the Titans last week. In 2020, Wilson opened the season with two-plus passing TDs in eight consecutive games. This week, Wilson is on the road to face a Minnesota defense that surrendered two passing TDs to Joe Burrow in Week 1 and three to Kyler Murray in Week 2.

Projection: 2.1