NFL player prop bets for Week 7: Expect Aaron Rodgers to beat projections

Aaron Rodgers has thrown at least two TD passes in every game since the opener. Ezra Shaw/Getty Images

Each week of the 2021 NFL season, I will review every individual player prop available via our partners at Caesars Sportsbook and pick out my favorite plays. This week's best bets are listed below in no particular order.

Season results: 40-36 (+1.2 units)

For thoughts on player-prop strategy, check out our staff roundtable on the topic.

Aaron Rodgers over 1.5 pass TDs (-220)

Rodgers has thrown at least two touchdowns in five consecutive games and did so in 16 of 18 games in 2020. He has also hit the mark in 138 of 200 games (69%) since 2009. The Washington defense, meanwhile, has allowed a league-high 16 passing TDs, including at least two in four consecutive games. Washington has shut down the opposing run game (3.6 YPC), which has led to opposing QBs attempting 242 passes (fourth most) and throwing for 1,904 yards (most).