Each week of the 2021 NFL season, I will review every individual player prop available via our partners at Caesars Sportsbook and pick out my favorite plays.
This week's best bets are listed below in no particular order.
Season results: 77-59 (+13.2 units)
Nick Chubb under 17.5 carries (EV)
The Browns are a road underdog against the division-leading Ravens this week, which suggests a poor game script is in store for Chubb. He's averaging 17.8 carries per game this season and has fallen short of 18 attempts in four of eight games. He has had a line this high three times this season and the under hit all three times. Additionally, Kareem Hunt is back from injured reserve and will undoubtedly play a significant offensive role. Baltimore has faced the fourth-fewest RB carries this season (184) and no running back has cleared 17 carries against the Ravens. That list includes Dalvin Cook, Jonathan Taylor, David Montgomery, Josh Jacobs, D'Andre Swift and Joe Mixon.