It's always tempting to get ahead of ourselves when discussing BCS championship and conference races. Around the middle of the year, every what-if scenario dreamed up focuses on the possible glut of undefeated contenders at season's end. And then the inevitable upsets strike as they did the last two weekends, and we're reminded how much remains unsettled and unpredictable.
We discussed undefeated championship contenders two weeks ago and identified Wisconsin and Oklahoma as two teams at risk to stumble due to a tough remaining strength of schedule.
With a new set of drive-based FEI ratings, we can calculate the likelihood of teams winning out for the rest of the season and thus add clarity to conference races. Below are the primary conference races up for grabs. In addition to the normal contenders, there are a few dark horses in position to make a run.