The Seahawks were in sole possession of first last week in this bettors' poll -- which uses the composite power ratings of our panel of ESPN Insider handicappers in Sal Selvaggio of madduxsports.com, Erin Rynning of sportsmemo.com and yours truly -- but dropped a half-point after losing 30-21 at San Diego.
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However, they weren't alone. Among other top teams that saw their power rating drop were the San Francisco 49ers, New Orleans Saints and Green Bay Packers. Teams moving up were the San Diego Chargers, Carolina Panthers, Baltimore Ravens, Buffalo Bills, and the Philadelphia Eagles with their rally on Monday night.
HOW TO READ THESE RATINGS
The ratings of two teams represent what the point spread should be if the two teams met on a neutral field. To compare to the current Vegas point spread, you adjust for home-field advantage.
The industry standard is 2.5 points for home field, but teams such as the Packers, Patriots and 49ers are typically given a full field goal while the Broncos and Saints are closer to 3.5. The Seahawks are often given 4 or 4.5, which puts our bettors' power ratings right around where the oddsmakers have the Seahawks and Broncos. We have them pick 'em on a neutral field, but with Seattle's home field, it puts it right around the current point spread of Seahawks minus-4.5. (Note: Some books are now up to 5, but that's not enough of a difference to warrant a play.)
Below is a look at the power ratings for all 32 NFL teams, along with three Week 3 games in which there appears to be value in the current lines. Again, these are not my personal plays or of any of the other handicappers, but rather the group as a whole. I'll post my thoughts in the "Tuley's Take" column Friday.
NFL Vegas Rankings
1 (tie). Seattle Seahawks (Power rating: 26)
Losing on the road usually doesn't drop a team too much, but losing as a 5-point road favorite does drop them a notch.
Previous rating: 26.5