Matchups: Get Ariza in your lineup

Trevor Ariza's offensive numbers should get a big boost this week. Derick E. Hingle/US Presswire

Using opponent data for each team on the following week's schedule, Basketball Prospectus can estimate how much a player's performance will vary because of the defenses he will face in the next week. (See here for more details on the process.) Each week, Kevin Pelton will take a look at five players to use, five to limit and an ideal pickup.

Must plays

Trevor Ariza, SF, New Orleans Hornets (plus-9 percent)

Ariza's famously inconsistent outside shot is showing signs of life in March, as he's hit 36 percent of his attempts from long distance. Next week's favorable schedule, which includes a pair of opponents who allow at least 10 percent more production than usual to wing players, should help Ariza lift his shooting percentages even further.