Using opponent data for each team on the following week's schedule, Basketball Prospectus can estimate how much a player's performance will vary because of the defenses he will face in the next week. (See here for more details on the process.) Each week, Kevin Pelton will take a look at five players to use, five to limit and an ideal pickup.
Ariza's famously inconsistent outside shot is showing signs of life in March, as he's hit 36 percent of his attempts from long distance. Next week's favorable schedule, which includes a pair of opponents who allow at least 10 percent more production than usual to wing players, should help Ariza lift his shooting percentages even further.