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Derrick Henry among fantasy football players who will score fewer TDs in 2020

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Is fantasy regression coming for Jones and Fournette? (1:38)

Mike Clay explains what to expect from Aaron Jones and Leonard Fournette in fantasy this year. (1:38)

Football statistics can prove hard to predict, but history continues to show that projecting touchdown regression to the mean is significantly easier than you might imagine.

The 2016, 2017, 2018 and 2019 versions of this article provide overwhelming evidence: