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Opportunity-adjusted fantasy points (OFP): 2021 leaderboard for RBs

AP Photo/Jeff Roberson

Opportunity-adjusted fantasy points (OFP) strip away player talent and efficiency and focus solely on opportunity.

FORP -- fantasy points over replacement player -- is the difference between a player's actual fantasy point total (FF points) and his OFP (expected total).

Running back adjustments are made as follows:

Rushing attempts: No change

Rushing yardage: Rush attempts multiplied by a rusher's expected yardage based on position, in-box defenders and rush direction

Rushing touchdowns: Rushing OTD

Targets: No change

Receptions: Targets multiplied by a receiver's expected catch rate based on depth of throw, location and position

Receiving yardage: Targets multiplied by a receiver's expected yardage based on depth of throw, location and position

Receiving touchdowns: Receiving OTD

Two-point conversions: OTD multiplied by the league average two-point rate

Fumbles lost: Touches multiplied by the league average rate

Return touchdowns: Excluded due to extreme rareness and randomness

For the complete explanation of OFP and how you can use it to make better fantasy decisions, check out this introduction article.

Here is the 2021 OFP leaderboard for running backs: