Week 16 fantasy projections

Matt Schaub has a favorable matchup against the Minnesota Vikings this week. Scott Halleran/Getty Images

I could sit here and bemoan the fact that the fantasy football playoffs are random -- such as me winning this past week by one half-point thanks to Chris Johnson's 94-yard touchdown run. Or me nearly blowing a 50-point lead the week before when the Seahawks' defense posted one of the top 10 fantasy football performances of all time.

I also could regale you with the story of how fantasy football playoffs aren't random -- such as how I used our matchup projection system in another league to correctly choose my semifinal opponent (which happens to be a nice wrinkle in the rules that I endorse). Yes, I could wax philosophical like this, but I won't. You're here to get help from me about your own matchups in your playoffs.

So without further ado, here are the best and worst fantasy football matchups for Week 16:


Matt Schaub (plus-5 points)

The Schaub-to-Andre Johnson connection continued its recent hot streak against Indianapolis last week, and Houston now has a home game against Minnesota's 29th-ranked pass defense according to DVOA. The Vikings also give up the third-most fantasy points to opposing quarterbacks. To boot, they're coming off a game where Sam Bradford threw for 377 yards and three touchdowns against them.

Sam Bradford (plus-3 points)