This is a year in which tight end fantasy value flattens out very quickly after the top picks are taken at this position. That leveling off makes it harder to overvalue players, but it hasn't prevented a handful of tight ends from being overvalued in fantasy drafts.
This third in a four-part series (we previously looked at overvalued QBs and RBs) aims to assist fantasy owners by identifying five tight ends who fall into this category. These players are being taken earlier in drafts (as determined by ESPN.com's average draft position) than they should be based on my own value analysis.
Here are my five most overvalued tight ends:
1. Kyle Rudolph
Current ESPN Live Draft ADP: 80.0
Current ESPN Live Draft positional rank: No. 6
The Football Scientist (TFS) positional rank: No. 13
This could be a classic case where a player's numbers spike thanks to an unreasonably high touchdown volume one year, then plummet the next season. Rudolph's eight short-pass touchdowns (short being defined as passes thrown 10 or fewer yards downfield) last year led tight ends in that category, and only one wide receiver (Eric Decker) caught more.