Hokies, Aztecs need W's

He may not dance as far as he did in 1989, but Steve Fisher should dance. Getty Images

Welcome to the new, expanded edition of Joe Lunardi's Rundown, featuring his latest bracket breakthrough, Tournament Odds.

How is it different from Bracketology? With Bracketology, Lunardi tells you how the bracket looks on that specific day.

With Tournament Odds, Lunardi tells you how the bracket is likely to look come Selection Sunday, by comparing current teams with those in his extensive database of prior seasons.

The Race for the Top

The picture for No. 1 seeds in the upcoming NCAA tournament is beginning to come into focus. It's basically the Kansas Jayhawks (their loss to the Oklahoma State Cowboys on Saturday notwithstanding), the Syracuse Orange and the Kentucky Wildcats (who also dropped a game this weekend, to the Tennessee Volunteers). The fourth team on the top line will be either the Duke Blue Devils or the Purdue Boilermakers.

If both Duke and Purdue win out through the regular season and their respective conference tournament, the committee will have a very difficult choice. In that case I would expect both teams to be in the West Region as the respective 1/2 seeds (as was the case a year ago with the Connecticut Huskies and Memphis Tigers).