Editor's note: The 2020 NCAA Tournament was canceled on March 12. These results and projections were based on expected completion of conference tournaments and are updated through every team's last remaining game.
Welcome to the fifth annual bad-news rite of March known as "The 345 teams that will not win the national title." This mirthful missive of misanthropy is now 4-of-4, having correctly exempted Villanova from membership twice and North Carolina and Virginia once in the teams' respective championship years.
The smart thing would, of course, be to quit now on a high note. This imposing edifice of oracular infallibility would have come crashing down, after all, had the aforementioned Cavaliers simply lost any one of three consecutive nail-biters in the 2019 NCAA tournament.
But what the heck, this is just a game where people put a ball through a hoop. The streak beckons to be extended.
Ineligible (six teams)
Near misses (20 teams)
What happened to the relentless 3-point barrage that was 2018-19-variety Auburn? These guys this season (checks notes) "shot less accurately in SEC play than any team except Missouri and Vanderbilt"? Goodness. Losing Isaac Okoro for three February games because of injury surely did not help this group's development, and now, even though the freshman has returned, we're looking at a somewhat different Tigers quantity than what we saw a year ago. Give this to Bruce Pearl's men, though: They are tough on the boards.
The Wildcats played three of their last five regular-season games at home, yet went just 1-4 over that stretch due in part to the frequency with which Sean Miller's men gave the ball away and missed shots. The turnovers were especially damaging for an offense that previously had been far better at recording a high shot volume than it was at putting the ball in the basket. On the other hand, the UA defense did stay strong during that closing stretch. Don't be surprised if Arizona wins a rock fight or two.