This edition of Bracket Math includes games through Sunday, Jan. 26. Rankings reflect an up-to-date S-Curve from yours truly, posing as one hypothetical member of the NCAA men's basketball committee.
For Wichita State, the time has come at last. The Shockers have made it to the top-seed line of Bracketology. And all it took was Michigan State, Villanova and Wisconsin losing last week.
Joe Lunardi's 2014 Bracket Odds
If the NCAA tournament began today, which teams have the best chance at a national title run?
The Shockers are more than worthy, however. Going back to last season's Missouri Valley Conference tournament, they are 27-2. They have lost only to Creighton (68-65) in the MVC final and Louisville (72-68) at the Final Four.
This season, Wichita State is 21-0 against a top-75 schedule. Its best wins -- BYU (neutral site), at Saint Louis and at home versus Tennessee and Indiana State -- are against tournament-level competition. The Shockers will be favored in every remaining game, including the conference rematch at Indiana State on Feb. 5.
So a No. 1 seed is now Wichita State's to lose. The Shockers may have to run the table to hold it, but the odds are climbing that they will do exactly that.
This is where teams would fall if Selection Sunday were today. Remember, the S-curve flows left to right, then right to left, then back again as you read down the chart.