BP Daily: After failures, we have lift off!

While many prospects, especially hitters, can be accurately projected via their draft position and minor league performances, sometimes the dreaded human element rears its ugly head and makes a near science frustratingly inexact.

Outfielder Brad Komminsk, the fourth overall pick in the 1979 amateur draft, hit .322 with 33 home runs as a 20-year-old in Class A. Two years later, he hit .334 and slugged .596 at Triple-A. Even a modest projection for Komminsk would have been hard-pressed not to rate him at the very least a future All-Star. Instead, he hit .218/.301/.336 in 376 very disappointing major league games.