Insider's series on MLB teams that have fallen out of the playoff race opens with the rapid demise of the Tampa Bay Rays, who enter Monday on an 11-game losing streak -- tied for the longest in history for a defending league champ.
Baseball Prospectus' preseason PECOTA projection: 94-68, third place
Current record: 72-71, third place
Third place seems safely correct, but the record? Not so much.
To see Buster Olney's take on what went wrong for the Rays and what's next, plus items from the rumor mill, number-crunching analysis from Baseball Prospectus, a draft recap and whom to watch in spring training, you must be an ESPN Insider.