The AL East should fear the Twins

Joe Mauer and the Twins could knock one of the AL's perceived big dogs out of the fight in October. Getty Images

Billy Beane once said that "his stuff" -- a reference to the Moneyball philosophy -- doesn't work in the playoffs. He was making an important point: The best team isn't always left holding up the championship trophy. Other factors are in play come October, notably the draw each team is dealt.

We looked at every team with at least a 10 percent chance of making the playoffs, and then determined their most favorable and least favorable playoff matchups.

The teams we studied were: Tampa Bay Rays, New York Yankees, Minnesota Twins, Philadelphia Phillies, Cincinnati Reds, Atlanta Braves, Texas Rangers, San Francisco Giants, San Diego Padres and Colorado Rockies; no offense to teams on the fringe of that group.