Bad D could sabotage Jays

With two major trades, the first for Jose Reyes, Josh Johnson, Mark Buehrle, Emilio Bonifacio and John Buck from the Miami Marlins, and the second for R.A. Dickey, Josh Thole and Mike Nickeas from the New York Mets, the Toronto Blue Jays dominated the offseason headlines.

Since then, a string of injuries to the Yankees and a lack of impact moves by the Red Sox and Orioles have resulted in the Blue Jays becoming the preseason favorites to win the AL East. The last time the Blue Jays won the division (not to mention made the playoffs or won the World Series) was in 1993.

With those improvements to their rotation, and their lineup, the Blue Jays have reason for optimism. However, if the Blue Jays are to win the division -- which Dan Szymborski's ZiPS projection system gives them a 42.9 percent chance to do -- their defense will be critical. And when you look closely at the Jays' defense, it undermines their status as favorites.