UFC 148: Sonnen a great value bet

Silva might be champ, but there's good value in betting on Sonnen. AP Photo/Jeff Chiu

This Fourth of July weekend, the UFC will be putting on its own version of fireworks in the form of one of the most anticipated fights in the history of the sport. The main event will feature the man widely considered the greatest pound-for-pound fighter in the world, Anderson Silva, who will be taking on the only man who has put him in serious danger, Chael Sonnen. Silva vs. Sonnen II has everything you'd want in a main event: revenge, bad blood, heated verbal exchanges and the need to physically separate fighters in standoffs.

So that you don't miss out on any of the excitement leading up to the title fight Saturday night, we're here to take a deeper look into the statistics behind the matchups for UFC 148, to see where the true value lies in the odds for this epic card.

Forrest Griffin (minus-320) versus Tito Ortiz (plus-260)

If you're simply basing it on past odds, what you have in Forrest Griffin versus Tito Ortiz III is as close to a coin flip as you can get in MMA. In their previous two meetings, Griffin and Ortiz have split, with both fights ending in a split decision. So why is Ortiz such a considerable underdog to Griffin in this matchup?