Bracket projection: North Carolina

Note: ESPN's Joe Lunardi assigned a team of Bracketologists to put together Insider's Tournament Tips, offering historical analysis of the bracket and in-depth breakdowns on all 68 tournament teams to help you make smart picks.

Lunardi's Logic

North Carolina's Achilles heel is the same. When the Tar Heels don't defend, they can lose a high-scoring shootout. That's exactly what I foresee against Washington in the third round, stunning the Charlotte crowd and sending UNC home early.

Plus, you can enlist the help of Insider's Bracket Predictor tool to aid your picks.

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North Carolina's complete Bracketology chart

Take a look inside the data used by the selection committee in seeding the bracket: