TCU vs. BYU, Bama vs. Tennessee and more picks 

October, 21, 2009

I had a solid week last week; I went 11-5 against the line -- putting me eight over for the season versus the number. The good was picking Iowa to beat Wisconsin. The bad was picking Florida to hammer Arkansas. And the ugly was picking Ohio State to thump Purdue. Here are this week's guesses:

Florida State Seminoles at North Carolina Tar Heels (Thursday, 8:00 p.m. ET, ESPN)

The Noles have won their past three games coming off bye weeks. Christian Ponder has been very impressive for FSU and is one of the Noles few bright spots this season, but this is an outstanding UNC D-line led by DE Robert Quinn; I think he'll have a breakout game on the national stage. The Noles are shaky up front (83rd in rush offense, 63rd in sacks allowed). The Noles' pass D also has been inept, but UNC (103rd in passing offense) will struggle to take advantage of it. The pick is UNC 16, Florida State 10.

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Army Black Knights (Friday, 8:00 p.m. ET, ESPN2)

Greg Schiano's defense has been pretty strong against the run -- but I think the D's No. 11 ranking is a bit deceiving, considering some of the easy teams the Scarlet Knights loaded up on early and the fact that they were just shredded for 223 rushing yards by Pitt last week. Army is much improved from the teams that were routed by a 71-9 combined score in the past two years against RU. The pick is Rutgers 20, Army 14.

Bruce picks one upset this week -- and is close on one more. To see what they are -- and to see his take on the whole mentor/mentee thing with Meyer and Mullen meeting in Starkville -- you must be an ESPN Insider. Insider