Going into Costanza mode and picking against my instincts, fittingly, got me a winning record against the line last week going 8-7. The good: getting the four-point margin in Pitt-Rutgers right; the bad: thinking Northwestern would hang with Illinois; and the ugly: thinking Michigan would keep it closer against Ohio State. This week's picks:
Thursday, Nov. 22
USC 14, Arizona State 13: I expect the Trojans defense to control the game. USC's D-line should completely bottle up the ASU offense. But with a national-title berth potentially hanging in the balance (a one-loss ASU with a win over USC probably would provide a better argument than any other W on West Virginia or Ohio State's resume), the Sun Devils will find a way to take it down to the wire, perhaps with some big plays in special teams.