Updated: April 22, 2015, 08:37 AM EST

McShay: 2015 NFL Mock Draft 5.0

Gurley moves into the top 10 in latest projection of all 32 first-round picks

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The 2015 NFL draft will finally arrive next week, but there is still a lot of uncertainty as to how the first round will play out. There seems to be less of a consensus around the league over which prospects will go -- and in what order -- than in past seasons.

I have a few surprises in my latest projection of the 32 first-round picks, including a star running back going in the top 10, and some potential trade scenarios involving Marcus Mariota and the No. 2 pick.

Here is my Mock Draft 5.0 for 2015:

1
Jameis Winston
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (1-2)
COLLEGE: Florida State
Class: Soph
HT: 6-3
WT: 231
POS: QB

Analysis: No surprise here. I have Winston as the top-ranked player on my board, and I believe he will be the first overall pick by the Bucs on April 30. Tampa Bay has to get its quarterback of the future out of this selection, and while Winston does bring with him some off-field risks, I give him the edge as a player over Marcus Mariota. In the areas that matter most in projecting QBs to the next level -- including reading defenses, going through progressions, anticipating throws and delivering the ball accurately -- he's one of the best prospects I've evaluated in the past 10 years.

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