Back on opening weekend, Arian Foster gashed the Indianapolis Colts' defense for three touchdowns and 231 yards on the ground. Now it's time for the rematch. The Colts have a mediocre run defense, ranking 29th in our rankings for defense-adjusted value over average, so all signs point to Foster having another good day.
To get a better idea as to what kind of production to expect from Foster the second time around, we researched all running backs who had 200 or more yards rushing against a divisional opponent in the first matchup of the season, and looked at how they fared the second time around. In the DVOA era (1993-present, the years for which we have specific play-by-play breakdown), there have been 12 such backs, including Foster. Duce Staley suffered a season-ending foot injury in 2000 and missed the Eagles' second game against the Cowboys, so that gives us a total of 10 running backs and games to examine.