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Don't be surprised when these 20 NFL predictions come true

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Making sense of Decker's fantasy value on the Patriots (1:29)

Matthew Berry, Field Yates, and Stephania Bell review Eric Decker's chance of making the Patriots roster, let alone if he would have any fantasy relevance on the team. (1:29)

Every season, NFL fans are treated to a new superstar leading the league in some category while other statistically dominant players continue to excel at their positions. This season figures to be no different.

Based on Pro Football Focus' advanced statistics and projections for 2018, here are 20 stat predictions for players and teams to lead the league. Don't be surprised if ...


Patrick Mahomes will have the league's top deep passer rating

The Chiefs' offense is tailor-made for explosive plays. Andy Reid already made one of the league's most conservative passers, Alex Smith, into the most productive deep-ball thrower in the NFL last year. Now he has a quarterback in Mahomes who thrives throwing down the field. His last year at Texas Tech, Mahomes had the seventh-most deep passing yards in the country and threw 15 touchdowns on deep balls.

Ryan Kerrigan will lead edge defenders in total pressures

Few players in the league have been able to consistently produce the way Kerrigan has over his career. It's not only year-to-year but week-to-week as well. Last season, Kerrigan recorded multiple pressures in every game and had 10 weeks with at least four pressures. He has recorded more than 60 total pressures in each of the past four seasons for the Redskins and recorded double-digit sacks in each of those years as well.