Each NFL team's offseason is filled with small moves and personnel decisions. Sometimes, that series of moves will build a winner. But a big, bold move always helps, by dramatically improving talent at an important position or changing the overall direction of the franchise. Football Outsiders is suggesting a bold move for each team. Some of these are more realistic than others, but each would provide a significant change and improve a team's chances of winning future Super Bowls.
Some might refer to Football Outsiders' DVOA (defense-adjusted value over average) metric, which takes every play during the season and compares it to a baseline adjusted for situation and opponent. It is explained further here.
Moves are suggested for each team independently of the moves suggested for other teams.
Buffalo Bills: Make a play for A.J. Green
Thanks to an overhauled offense, quarterback Josh Allen was able to take a step forward in his second pro season and begin to look more like a legitimate NFL starter. Newly acquired wide receivers John Brown and Cole Beasley went a long way for Allen, proving to be massive improvements over the fringe NFL talents the Bills rolled out in 2018.
That said, considering Brown is primarily a deep threat and Beasley does not provide much beyond the 10-yard mark, the Bills could still use a true No. 1 wide receiver to fill in the gaps for their high-end role players. Buffalo's $80-plus million in salary-cap space should be more than enough to pay Green.
The concern with Green, 31, is how healthy he will be after missing the entire 2019 season with a severe ankle injury. Even a 90% version of Green is a legit No. 1 receiver who can do a little bit of everything, though.
Green has the size and body control to box out defensive backs to make acrobatic catches while being every bit as fluid and nuanced as the best route runners in the league. Precious few receivers in recent history move as smoothly as Green -- at 6-foot-4 and 210 pounds -- does for a player his size. In turn, Green can be that reliable, "always open" presence for Allen to rely on.