2022 NFL betting tips: How to make the most of player total props

Can Tom Brady continue to defy Father Time and lead the NFL in passing again? Photo by Mike Ehrmann/Getty Images

The NFL is back, and that means plenty of betting opportunities every weekend. But it also offers the chance to get in on some prop bets before things get going at the start of the regular season.

Our analysts answer all of the questions surrounding some of the most popular NFL player total prop bets available now.

All odds from Caesars Sportsbook unless otherwise indicated.

Caesars lists Tom Brady with the shortest odds to lead the NFL in passing yards (+700) and touchdowns (+500) in 2022 at 45 years old. Is there value in taking Brady or perhaps another top signal-caller like Justin Herbert (+750), Patrick Mahomes (+800) or Joe Burrow (+900)?

Aaron Schatz: Despite the loss of Tyreek Hill, our KUBIAK fantasy football projections at Football Outsiders have Mahomes as the most likely league leader in both passing yards and passing touchdowns. The Chiefs' offensive scheme still favors the pass over the run, and Mahomes is still the best quarterback in the league. (Unlike Brady or Aaron Rodgers, he has no chance of seeing an age-related decline.) The Chiefs have also done a better job of rebuilding their receiving corps than the Packers have after trading Davante Adams. There are other young guns like Herbert and Burrow who should put up big numbers, but Mahomes to lead the league in passing touchdowns (+600) and yards (+800) are good bets.