Each day of the WNBA playoffs, our team of betting experts breaks down the best bets for each game.
All odds are provided by Caesars Sportsbook. Times are ET.
Here's what to look for today:
New York Liberty at Chicago Sky
8 p.m., Wintrust Arena, Chicago
Line: Sky (-10)
Money line: Liberty (+345), Sky (-455)
Total: 166.5 points
BPI Win%: Sky (77.2%)
Ruled out: Li Yueru (personal)
Best bet: Liberty +10. The Liberty are one of the hottest teams entering the playoffs, going 6-2 over their past eight games, which is the best record in the league since July 31. Their defense during this span is ranked first in the league in opponent's PPG, opponent's FG% and opponents 3FG%.
Also the past three games between these two teams were decided by eight points or fewer so I expect this to be a close game and series. Additionally, the Liberty have Betnijah Laney back in the lineup (played in past five games), which is another strong option for them on offense to keep up with the Sky.
Phoenix Mercury at Las Vegas Aces
10 p.m., Michelob Ultra Arena, Las Vegas
Line: Aces (-16)
Money line: Mercury (+1050), Aces (-2000)
Total: 167.5 points
BPI Win%: Aces (76.1%)
Questionable: Kaela Davis (ankle)
Best bet: Under 167.5. The Aces' high-powered offense has taken it up a notch over the past four games, averaging 96.0 PPG in that span (three of those four games were at home). But with Phoenix being without their two leading scorers Skylar Diggins-Smith and Diana Taurasi, this game could get ugly quick and if that's the case Las Vegas coach Becky Hammon could decide to take her starters out early to rest them and give her reserves more reps. If that's the case, the Aces won't look like the same high-powered offense we have seen before since their bench averages 12.9 PPG and shoots 36.5% from the field which are both last in the league.
On top of that, the Phoenix offense hasn't been great over its past seven games (five of those without Taurasi, four without Diggins-Smith). Since July 31, Phoenix has only averaged 71.7 PPG, the lowest average in the league during that time frame, and in five of those last seven games they have hit the under. Diggins-Smith and Taurasi have accounted for 38% of the teams total points this season so it's no wonder their offense has been struggling and could again tonight.