Who will make the college football playoff?

The Allstate Playoff Predictor breaks down which teams have the best chance to make this season's College Football Playoff.

11/30/2022

Championship Week is here.

And that means the remaining College Football Playoff contenders have one more chance to impress the committee by securing an all-important conference title.

Since the playoff began in 2014, 27 of the 32 playoff participants have been conference champions. And while Georgia enters the SEC title game as a near-lock to make it regardless of result, the other contenders playing this weekend are facing must-win stakes.

So who will make it this year? Make your picks below and see what the Allstate Playoff Predictor says.

Don't like your results? Switch up your picks and try it again.

CHOOSE FIVE CONFERENCE CHAMPIONS

Pick the teams you believe will win the SEC, Big 12, ACC, Big Ten and Pac-12 championship games. Each team's percentage chance to win the game is in black, while its chance to make the playoff is in gray.

Win %
Matchup
(CFP chances)
Win %
78
vs
22
83
vs
17
46
vs
54
89
vs
11
39
vs
61

Potential Chaos Points

Ohio State and Alabama are idle during conference championship weekend but are lurking, hoping one of the big four contenders -- Georgia, Michigan, TCU and USC -- slip up for a chance at the CFP.

In 2014, when the Big 12 didn't have a conference title game, TCU was infamously overtaken by Ohio State when the Buckeyes won the Big Ten championship while TCU had beaten a 2-9 Iowa State team. Now that the Big 12 championship game has returned, can the Horned Frogs take advantage and stay undefeated against a Kansas State team they eked past in October?

After going 4-8 in 2021, USC, led by coach Lincoln Riley and QB Caleb Williams, is 11-1 and on the cusp of its first CFP appearance. But can the Trojans beat Utah, the only team to hand them a loss this season?

What about Michigan? The Wolverines scored four touchdowns of at least 60 yards, but have shown they can be vulnerable, narrowly beating Illinois and Maryland. Can a veteran Purdue team upset Jim Harbaugh's squad?

If anyone trips up, the committee will have a decision to make. How does it view Ohio State, which lost only to a top-three Michigan team? Does Alabama, with two last-second road losses, both to top-10 teams, by a combined four points, have what it takes to sneak into the top four?


Your Final Results

Of course, it's the committee decision which teams feel vindicated and which will inevitably call foul, but this is what Playoff Predictor says the top five could look like if you chose correctly.

Team % Playoff Chances

Chance it happens

How likely is it you picked all games correctly? Here's Playoff Predictor's take.

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Editing by Matt Eisenberg

Produced by ESPN Creative Studio: Heather Donahue, Jarret Gabel, Alecia Hamm and Lori Higginbotham.

ESPN Analytics: Lauren Poe, Matt Morris, Mitchell Wesson