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Chase Headley a potential bargain

The metrics show Chase Headley and Pablo Sandoval are more similarly valued than most realize. AP Photos

Let's start with a pretty obvious statement: Pablo Sandoval will get paid handsomely this winter.

There's not much controversy about that remark, of course. Sandoval just put up three consecutive above-average offensive seasons that were nearly identical to one another -- his wRC+ numbers were 118, 116 and 111 -- and he's valuable with the glove as well, along with carrying the "playoff-tested" label of having been a part of three World Series-champion San Francisco teams. Considering he just turned 28, it's realistic to expect similar production from him for at least the next few seasons.

ESPN's Keith Law suggested recently that Sandoval could get four to five years at $15 million per season, and FanGraphs' crowdsourcing effort suggested something close to that, at five years for $80 million. Even those seem a little low, really. Either way, someone will pay for Sandoval's youth and value on both sides of the ball at an important position.

There's nothing wrong with that, of course. But with Sandoval taking up much of the air in the third-base room, have we forgotten about Chase Headley, this offseason's other main free-agent third baseman? Headley isn't the offensive force that Sandoval is, and offense is what gets players paid. But is it really so unreasonable to think he might actually be a better value?